We give a preliminary study of a new procedure to correct incoherent imprecise conditional probability assessments. The procedure is based on parametric optimization problems which have as objective function a new discrepancy measure. We show through simple examples how the procedure of correcting incoherent assessments can be properly extended to aggregate conflicting opinions, and can be generalized to embed importance weights of each assessment.
Keywords. Imprecise conditional probabilities, inconsistency handling, aggregation opinions, divergence measures
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Authors addresses:
Andrea Capotorti
Dipartimento di Matematica e Informatica
Università di Perugia
via Vanvitelli 1
06123 Perugia
Italy
Giuliana Regoli
Dipartimento di Matematica e Informatica
Universita di Perugia
via Vanvitelli 1
06100 Perugia
Italy
Francesca Vattari
via Vanvitelly 1
06123 Perugia
E-mail addresses:
| Andrea Capotorti | capot@dipmat.unipg.it |
| Giuliana Regoli | regoli@dipmat.unipg.it |
| Francesca Vattari | vattari@dipmat.unipg.it |